AUTHORPotter, William C. / Mukhatzhanova, Gaukhar, Eds.
TITLEForecasting Nuclear Proliferation in the 21st Century: Volume 2, A Comparative Perspective
PUBLISHERStanford University Press
CITYStanford, CA

Based on case studies of twelve nations, this edited volume employs social science theory to assist policy makers in determining future developments in nuclear proliferation. For each case study, the author addresses the following points about the country in question: the probability of its acquiring a nuclear weapon by 2020, reasons for the nation to go nuclear or to abstain, events that might cause the nation to go nuclear, time required to acquire a weapon, methods of acquiring a weapon, the relationship between nuclear decision making and the actions of other states, and the possibilities for preventing the country from acquiring nuclear weapons. The case studies include Egypt, Iran, Saudi Arabia, Syria, Japan, South Korea (DPRK), Taiwan, Yugoslavia, Serbia, Turkey, Ukraine, Australia, and South Africa. In the final chapter, the editors summarize proliferation trends and predictions. Each chapter is supported by extensive references.

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