AUTHORSimpson, John / Perkovich, George / Noyes, James / Aronson, Geoffrey / Lodgaard, Sverre
TITLEIran's Nuclear Program: Realities and Repercussions
PUBLISHERThe Emirates Center for Strategic Studies and Research
CITYAbu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

This collection of five essays, comprised of papers presented at the Emirates Center for Strategic Studies and Research (ECSSR) symposium, concerns the status of Iran’s nuclear program and the threat it poses to the rest of the world. The introduction presents a succinct outline of the five enclosed essays’ principal arguments. Essays address the following issues: current estimates of Iran’s nuclear capabilities and a potential timeline for the development and use of atomic weapons; the impact of Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad’s 2005 election on Iranian nuclear policy and regional stability; Israel’s stance on nuclear weapons and obstacles to creating a nuclear weapons-free zone (NWFZ) in the Middle East; and factors influencing a potential U.S. decision to bomb Iran. The collection emphasizes the consequences Iran might face should it continue to pursue a confrontational nuclear policy and the potential benefits inherent in a cooperative nuclear policy. Additionally, the essays consider the difficulties of orchestrating military action against Iranian nuclear facilities, particularly with respect to U.S. Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) allies in the region and the military resources required to carry out a successful assault; indeed, the authors suggest that a preemptive attack by the U.S. against Iran would be the precursor to a war between the U.S. and Iran, which would only further exacerbate the problems between the U.S. and the Muslim world. Endnotes and a bibliography are included.

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